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2026
A Bayesian Fix for Uncertain Long-Run Effects in Short Time Series
long-run multipliersbayesian time seriesstationarityshort time seriescredible intervalspolitical methodology2026@AJPS 3 R files 6 Datasets Dataverse

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2025 est.
Reanalysis of 49 Studies Shows TWFE Results Often Variable and Underpowered
Panel Data Difference-In-DifferencesTWFEParallel trendsHeterogeneous effects2025 est.@APSR Dataverse

i

Improving Compliance in Experimental Studies of Discrimination
2025 est.@JOP 3 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Quantitative Research in Political Science Is Greatly Underpowered
2025 est.@JOP 45 R files 11 Stata file 72 Datasets Dataverse

i

Move Beyond Tables: Simulating Volatility in ARCH–GARCH Models
Time Series AnalysisARCHGARCHBootstrappingVolatility2025 est.@JOP 5 R files 12 Stata files 33 Datasets Dataverse

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2025
How AI Extracts Medications and Symptoms From Patient Notes
PGHDNLPNERRXNormSNOMED2025@PS Dataverse

i

Measuring Causal Effects When Outcomes Are Hidden
Instrumental Variables item response theory Multilevel Modelinglatent outcomes2025@AJPS 10 Datasets Dataverse

i

Reproducibility Is Rising in Political Science—But Most Papers Still Don't Share Data
reproducibilitydata sharingpolitical sciencerandom sample2025@PS Dataverse

i

De-Identification Fails: Differential Privacy Protects Survey Respondents—But Requires Bigger Samples
differential privacyreidentificationsample size2025@AJPS 13 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Weather Instruments Under Threat: Widespread Exclusion-Restriction Violations Found
Causal Inference Instrumental Variablesweather2025@AJPS 4 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Cross-Encoders Beat Word Methods for Short Political Texts
cross-encoderembeddingsshort textstext similarity2025@AJPS 2 R files 28 Datasets Dataverse

i

AI Reads Politics: LLMs Match Experts on Party Positions and Coalitions
Machine Learningnatural language understandingText Analysispolitical methodologyparty positionsgovernment formation2025@AJPS 6 Datasets Dataverse

i

Mapping "Organizing": Visual Tools Reveal Research Gaps in Political Action
literature mappingorganizingpolitical actionmethodology2025@PS Dataverse

i
2024
Fixed Effects Don't Always Fix Post-Treatment Bias in Camp Legacy Research
Fixed Effects Germany Simulationpost-treatment biaslegacy studies2024@APSR 7 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Why Do People Draw Neighborhoods Along Race and Party Lines?
Partisanship Spatial Modelssubjective neighborhoodsmap survey2024@APSR 33 R files 13 Datasets Dataverse

i
2023
Fixing Crosswise Survey Bias From Inattentive Respondents
Crosswise modelInattentivenessBias correctionAnchor questioncWise2023@Pol. An.13 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Improve Proportion Estimates From Text With Matching And Continuous Features
nonparametric methods Content Analysis Machine Learning Matchingtext featuresclassification2023@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Bayesian Rule Sets: An Interpretable Alternative to QCA for Noisy Data
Bayesian Methods Qualitative Comparative Analysisinterpretable machine learningrule setscomparative methods2023@JOP 34 R files Dataverse

i

Train Once, Classify Across: Party Platforms Predict Speech Topics
manifestos Machine Learning Political Parties Speech-as-Data Text Analysiscross-domain2023@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Why AMCE Misleads When Studying Preferences in Forced‑Choice Conjoint Experiments
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint Experiments Causal Inferencepreferencesforced-choice2023@Pol. An.10 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

How Partisan Symmetry Metrics Fail in Practice
Partisan Biasmean-median2023@Pol. An.170 datasets Dataverse

i

How Noisy, Privacy-Protected Facebook Data Still Yield Valid Results
Measurement Errordifferential privacyFacebookscalability2023@Pol. An.11 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Fatal Terror Attacks Create Social Desirability Bias in Survey Responses
Field Experimentsocial desirability biasterror attackselectoral participation2023@AJPS 8 Stata files 13 datasets Dataverse

i
2022
A Permutation Test That Spots Real Changes in Effect Sizes
Alliances Monte Carlo Time Series AnalysisChangepointPermutation2022@Pol. An.5 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Turn Open-Ended Answers Into Continuous Attention Checks
Survey Experiments Experimental Methods Text Analysisattention checksr package2022@Pol. An.3 R files Dataverse

i

Skewed Measurement Error Can Bias Regressions Even When Small
Measurement Error Structural Modelsskewnessheteroskedasticitynonlinear estimation2022@Pol. An.13 Stata files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

How Adaptive Fuzzy Matching Fixes Messy Single-Field Data Merges
record linkagefuzzy matchingadaptive learningentity resolutiondata merging2022@Pol. An.4 R files 26 datasets Dataverse

i

New Analysis Uncovers Flaw in Standard ANES Ideological Scales
ANES Survey Data American National Election Studies Measurement Error Political Ideology2022@JOP 37 R files Dataverse

i

How Good Are Corruption Measures? A Practical Rubric for Data Quality
Corruption V-Demdata qualityvalidity2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How to Balance Preferences and Predicted Outcomes in Refugee and School Assignments
Machine Learning Matching Refugeesschool choicestrategy-proofness2022@Pol. An.42 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Mixing Integration Orders in Time Series Doesn't Increase Error Risk, New Study Shows
Time Series Analysis2022@PSR&M 8 Stata files Dataverse

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Detecting True Relationships in Time Series Data with Different Orders of Integration
2022@PSR&M 8 Stata files Dataverse

i

Names Signal More Than Race: SES and Migration Bias Audit Experiments
namesinformation equivalencecorrespondence auditsocioeconomic status2022@Pol. An.4 Stata files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Fully Randomized Conjoint Reduces Social Desirability Bias by Two-Thirds
Conjoint Analysis Conjoint Experiments Survey Experiments Experimental Methodssocial desirability bias2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How to Recover Individual Preferences From Conjoint Experiments
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint Experiments Immigration Survey ExperimentsMarginal EffectsIndividual Preferences2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Time Matters, Use Cox: A Better Approach for Binary Panel Data
Logistic Regression Survival Analysistransition probabilitiesbinary time-series cross-section btscs2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

New Method Shows How Ordinal Scale Choices Can Shift Empirical Estimates
Sensitivity Analysis Sub-Saharan Africaordinal variablespartial identificationmonotonic transformation2022@Pol. An.1 R file 8 Stata files 180 datasets Dataverse

i

How Populist Are Parties? New Machine Learning Scores From Manifestos
Machine Learning Speech-as-Data Text Analysissupervised learning2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Machine vs Human Geocoding: Similar Validity, Different Errors in Colombian Rights Data
Colombiageocodinghuman-rightsspatial-probitINLA2022@Pol. An.17 R files Dataverse

i

Why Conjoint Results Depend on Profile Distribution
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint ExperimentsExternal validityProfile distribution2022@Pol. An.15 R files 1000 datasets Dataverse

i

How to Estimate Multidimensional Ideal Points on Massive Datasets
Ideal PointsscalabilitysparsityR2022@Pol. An.2 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

How CNNs Read Handwritten Vote Tallies for Social Science Research
Images-as-Data Machine Learning Electionsvote tallieshandwriting2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

ZIP Codes Work for White/Black Imputation; Blocks Matter for Asian and Hispanic
BISGGeocodingZIP codesCensus blocksGeorgia2022@Pol. An.2 R files 7 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Predicting Multiple Labels Together Improves Political Text Coding
Human Rights Mexico Text Analysismulti-labelsupervised learning2022@Pol. An.43 datasets Dataverse

i

Drop Both or One? New Take on Missing Data in Paired Experiments
Causal Inference Experimental Methods Selection Biaspairwise randomizationdeletion estimatorvariance estimator2022@Pol. An.1 R file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

How to Measure Sexism Quickly and Reliably in Political Surveys
Gender Measurement Errorhostile sexism2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Why Thousands of AI-Generated Placebos Improve Survey Experiments
Survey Experiment Survey Experimentsplacebononspecific effectsGPT-2generative models2022@Pol. An.1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

How Fast Answers Reveal Unseen Inattentiveness in Online Surveys
Survey Data Measurement Errorattentivenessclustering2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Why Standard Interaction Tests Mislead and a Better Lasso-Based Fix
interactionsregularizationlassopost-double selectionheterogeneity2022@Pol. An.9 R files 116 datasets Dataverse

i

Big Data & Rare Events: Standard Fixes Can Backfire
separationrare eventsdyadic datacauchy prior2022@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Google Searches Forecast U.S. Protests More Accurately Than Twitter
Collective Action Forecasting google trends Time Series Analysiscrowd counting2022@Pol. An.12 R files 3 Stata files 270 datasets Dataverse

i

Sponsorship Shapes Survey Responses — A New Look at Online Polling Biases
Political Participation Survey Datasampling biasresponse bias2022@Pol. Behav.6 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

This study reveals how word-of-mouth alters survey responses on sensitive topics.
Experimental Methods Sub-Saharan Africa Survey Datagrapevine effect2022@PSR&M 1 R file 6 Stata files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

MIDAS: Deep Learning That Fixes Missing Data Fast
Survey Data Multiple Imputationdenoising autoencoderdeep learning2022@Pol. An.12 R files 1255 datasets Dataverse

i

List Experiments Can Be Less Accurate Than Direct Questions on Turnout
List Experiments Voter TurnoutDirect QuestionsPartition ValidationMisreporting2022@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

American Politics Is One-Dimensional, But Politicians Are More Constrained
Ideal Points Public Opinionconstraintdimensionalitycross-validation2022@Pol. An.36 R files 9 datasets Dataverse

i

Crowdsourcing Better Validation for Topic Models Used as Measures
topic modelsvalidationcrowdsourcingU.S. Senators2022@Pol. An.102 R files 81 dataset Dataverse

i

New Estimator Solves Dynamic Panel Dilemma for Small-T Studies
dynamic panel modelsorthogonal reparameterizationGMM estimatorssmall T panels2022@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How Multilevel Models Mirror Fixed Effects — And Why Corrections Matter
Fixed Effectsmultilevel modelscluster-robustrandom effectsobservational data2022@Pol. An.Dataverse

i
2021
Senate Filibusters End Suddenly? Not Always: A Counterintuitive Look at the War of Attrition
Game Theory Survival Analysis Legislative Behavior US Congressmaximum likelihood estimation2021@PSR&M 2 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Beyond Words: Vocal Tone Reveals Hidden Political Signals
Speech-as-Dataoral argumentsvocal toneR programming language2021@APSR Dataverse

i

Fast Estimator for Binary Choice Models With Space and Time Dependence
Spatial Models Logistic Regression Monte Carlo Time Series Analysispseudo-mle2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How AI Helps Better Define Where Civil Wars Actually Happen
Civil War Machine Learning Regression Discontinuitygeospatial zones2021@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Hidden Control Variables Give Many Papers Their Statistical Significance
Transparencysuppression effectscontrol variablesobservational studiesstatistical significance2021@Pol. An.2 datasets Dataverse

i

Political Science Researchers Face Surprising Challenges with Code Obsolescence
Code ReproducibilityLong-term MaintenanceISPS Data ArchiveData Preservation2021@PS 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Adaptive Research Designs Could Transform How Political Scientists Test Ideas
adaptive designpolitical science experimentstreatment discoveryestimation precision2021@AJPS 12 R files Dataverse

i

How Firth's Method Solves Duration Model Problems in Political Science
duration modelingfailure time datacovariate monotonicityFirth's estimationempirical guidance2021@BJPS Dataverse

i

Decision Records vs. Voting: A New Approach to Analyzing Committee Outcomes
Bayesian structural modelsGibbs samplerUS Supreme CourtUN Security Council2021@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Foreign Workers Not the Only Problem on MTurk: An Indian Quality Control Study
Mechanical TurkIndian workersdata reliabilityresponse accuracy2021@R&P 11 R file 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

New Method Creates Political Event Dictionaries with Less Effort
Machine Learningpolitical event codingnlpdictionary generation2021@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Small Choices, Big Differences: How Corpus and Coding Change News Tone Measures
text classificationsupervised learningcorpus selectioncoding designNew York Times2021@Pol. An.17 R files 17 datasets Dataverse

i

More Attributes, More Responses? Conjoint Surveys Can Handle Complexity Better Than Expected
Measurement Error US Congress Conjoint Experimentsfiller attributesresponse quality2021@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Even Wrong Network Models Beat Ignoring Spatial Dependence
Causal Inference Spatial Models Network Analysisspatial weightsnetwork misspecification2021@Pol. An.8 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Detecting When Political Effects Change: A New Change-Point Toolkit
Democratization V-Dem Panel Datachange pointstemporal heterogeneity2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Minimally-Supervised Corpus-Based Sentiment Analysis Validated for Specialized Legal Language
Text AnalysisCorpus-Based ApproachSpecialized Legal LanguageBenchmarks DatasetsMinimally-Supervised Methods2021@PSR&M Dataverse

i

List Experiments' Achilles Heel: How Placebo Controls Fall Short, Requiring Mixed Lists
List Experiments Measurement Errormixed controlsnon-strategic errors2021@R&P 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Qualitative Transparency Deliberations: Insights from Hundreds of Political Scientists
qualitative transparencydeliberative processmethodological guidanceresearch practice2021@POP Dataverse

i

Manski's Method Delivers Reliable Belief Distributions in Online Surveys
belief distributionselicitationManski methodonline surveysexpectations2021@Pol. An.19 R files 7 datasets Dataverse

i

Proving Regression Discontinuity Credibility With Equivalence Tests
Elections Regression Discontinuityequivalence testingfalsification testsdensity test2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Survey Scales Don't Explain Ideology Gaps — Perceptions Do
Political Ideology Partisanshipanchoring vignettesAldrich-McKelvey2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Small Samples Don't Mean Big Problems: PML Improves Logit Model Estimates
Logistic Regressionestimation bias2021@PSR&M 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Elite Ethics Experiments: What Officials and Voters Truly Think
Elite ExperimentationEthics PerceptionGovernance Innovation2021@BJPS 1 Stata file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

From Lab to Poll: Why Survey Experiments Reshape Political Research
Survey Experiment Survey Experiments Content AnalysisFactorialValidity2021@IPSR 6 R files 4 Stata files 10 Datasets Dataverse

i

Match Millions in Minutes: New Method Balances Six-Treatment Experiments
Causal Inferencefull-matchingapproximation algorithmvoter mobilizationlarge-N2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Just a Few Checks Can Match Full Survey Quality Control
survey qualityAmericasBarometergeo-trackingaudio captureclassification2021@Pol. An.1 R file 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Do More Surveys Mean Better Results? New Study Finds Precision Without Distortion
Survey Experimentsrepeated measures designbetween subjectsprecision2021@APSR 2 R files 9 Stata files 9 datasets Dataverse

i

Understanding Spatial Effects in Political Science: More Than Just Location
spatial analysisdemocracy diffusionlag termsgeographic variation2021@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Why ADL(2,1) Isn't a Universal Fix for Serial Dependence
ADL(21)lagged variablesserial correlationWald testdynamic models2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Why Plugging ML Predictions Into Regressions Misleads — And How to Fix It
Multiple Imputation Machine Learning Text Analysisprediction error2021@Pol. An.10 R files 1 Stata file 27 datasets Dataverse

i

How Lobbying Networks Reveal Hidden Communities in Congress
Congress Interest Groups Lobbying US Congresscommunity detectionbipartite networks2021@Pol. An.241 dataset Dataverse

i

Correcting False Positive Rates in Interaction Model Testing
False Positive RateBenjamini HochbergInteraction ModelsBrambor Procedure2021@CPS Dataverse

i

New Technique Maps American Public Ideology at District Level
US StatesBayesian kriging2010 Censuscongressional districts2021@SPPQ Dataverse

i

How Legislative Language Reveals Bureaucratic Discretion and Executive Delegation
US States Principal-Agent Relationshipdiscretionsyntactic parsingtext-analysis2021@Pol. An.2 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Economic Games Miss Ethnic Bias — Misattribution Tests Reveal It in Nairobi
Public Goodsethnic biasmisattributionNairobidictator game2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

New Way to Spot Meaningful Government Policies
PU LearningUK Govt RegsExpert ValidationAutomated Classification2021@APSR Dataverse

i

MTurk's 'Don't Know' Quandary: A Surprising Caveat to Online Political Knowledge Studies
Mechanical Turkattention checksdon't know optionresponse behavior2021@PS 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Front Pages Matter: Media Exposure Recasts Ministerial Relevance in Brazil's Coalitions
Coalition Formation Media Effects Brazil Content Analysisministerial relevance2021@BPSR 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Facebook Ads Fall Short: How Survey Recruitment Claims Mislead
Survey Data Social Mediademographic targetingsuccess rates2021@PSR&M 5 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Enhancing Pooled Event History Analysis Through Multilevel Modeling
Multilevel ModelingPooled Event History AnalysisHeterogeneityRandom CoefficientsAntiabortion Policies2021@SPPQ Dataverse

i

Few Upper-Level Units Don't Doom Multilevel Models: ML Estimates Remain Unbiased
multilevel modelsrestricted ML estimationcoefficient estimatesMonte Carlo simulation2021@BJPS Dataverse

i

When Lawmakers Shift: Revealing Different Ideal Points Across Policy Domains
Congress Roll-Call Votes US Congress Ideal Points Multilevel Modelingissue space2021@Pol. An.5 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Do List Experiments In Singapore Inflate Responses For Low Education Respondents?
List Experiments singaporemechanical inflationcontrol statement2021@PSR&M 1 R file 2 Stata files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Multinomial Logit Coefficients Mislead: Focus on Predicted Probabilities
Multinomial logitPredicted probabilitiesReference categoryNominal outcomes2021@Pol. An.1 R file 1 Stata file 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Aligning Votes and Speeches Reveals Shared Ideology and Distinct Issue Signals
US Congress Text Analysislatent factorresampling2021@Pol. An.44 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Unseen Networks Can Skew Spillover Estimates — New Sensitivity Tools Show How
Twitter Social Networks Field Experimentspilloversensitivity2021@Pol. An.6 R files Dataverse

i

Beyond Siloed Analysis: How Multilayer Models Solve Political Network Inference Problems
Multilayer NetworksExponential Random Graph ModelERGM ModelingPolicy Communication2021@PSR&M 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

How a 'Binary Snowball' Method Boosts Precision in News Topic Coding
Machine Learningtext classificationComparative Agendasbinary classificationHungary2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When the Wald Test Misleads Spatial Model Choice
Spatial Modelsspatial DurbinWald testlikelihood ratiobootstrap2021@Pol. An.5 R files Dataverse

i

The Wild Bootstrap With a Small Number of Large Clusters
2021@RESTAT 5 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Eye-Tracking Reveals How Respondents Simplify Conjoint Choices
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint Experiments Rational Choice Theory Survey ExperimentsEye-tracking2021@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Screeners Could Enhance Political Science Data Quality
screeners for attentionitem-response theorysurvey standardization2021@PSR&M 3 R files 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i
2020
Why UK Backbenchers Aren't Becoming More Alike — Except the Senior Ones
Hansardstylometrybackbencherspanel regression2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Divided Government Causality? Two New Methods Address Election Challenges
Divided Government Regression Discontinuityprobability restricted designelectoral distance2020@SPPQ Dataverse

i

Central Bank Preferences Uncovered Through Text Analysis Alone
Central Banking Text Analysisfinancial crisisscaling methods2020@PSR&M 1 R file 9 datasets Dataverse

i

Small Corpora, Big Insights: Word2Vec Tracks 161 Years of Shifting Meanings
word2vecsemantic changenewspapersbootstrappretraining2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Active Learning Cuts Text Labeling Costs, Especially for Rare Categories
Simulationactive learningtext classificationintercoder reliability2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Text Matching Offers New Solutions for Addressing Confounding Observational Gaps
Causal InferenceObservational StudiesText ConfoundersMatching Methods2020@AJPS 14 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

How Automated Coding Reveals Human Rights Groups' Naming-and-Shaming
Human Rights Text AnalysisNaming-and-ShamingAutomated CodingNGOs2020@JHR Dataverse

i

Automated Text Analysis Reveals Radical Shifts in Animal Rights Movements
automated text analysisideological shiftsdirect actionsanimal liberation movement2020@R&P Dataverse

i

New Approach Makes Statistical Duration Findings Easier for Political Scientists
cox modelduration analysishazard ratioexpected durations2020@BJPS 5 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Beyond the Unit Root Question: New Approach Handles Uncertainty in Long-Run Economic Relationships
unit root uncertaintylong run relationship inferenceregression model application2020@AJPS 30 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Less Deception, More Data: Field Experiment Shows Monitoring Reduces Discrimination Against Hispanics
Field Experiment State Legislatures US State Politicsdeception reductiondiscrimination mitigation2020@SPPQ Dataverse

i

New CNA Method Handles Multi-Value Outcomes & Fuzzy Sets
fuzzy set qcacausal inference methodsmembership scoresr software2020@PSR&M 2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Compare Mediation Effects Without Assuming No Confounding — An Audience Costs Case
Causal Inferenceaudience costsinternational lawcomparative mediation2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Why Clustered SEs Underestimate Uncertainty — A Better Method
Simulationbootstrappingclustered standard errorssmall number of clusters2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Crowdsourcing Makes Local Government Data Accurate and Cheap
United Stateslocal governmentcrowdsourcingdata validationconsensus measures2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

New Dataset Reveals Everyday Racial/Ethnic Environments Are Less Extreme Than Traditional Measures Suggest
Political Representationgeolocation datameasurement gapdaily life exposure2020@PSR&M 7 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Averaging Hides Politics: A Binary Quantile Model Reveals Hidden Heterogeneity
binary quantilediscrete choiceheterogeneityIIAcounterfactual2020@Pol. An.107 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Allowing Contextual Effects Tightens Ecological Inference Bounds by About 44%
ecological inferencecontextual effectspartial identification2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Political Scientists Can Properly Estimate Direct Causal Effects
Political ParticipationMarginal Structural ModelsControlled Direct Effects2020@PSR&M 1 R file 3 Stata files Dataverse

i

Dropped Groups Explain Why Logit and OLS Diverge
Fixed Effects Logistic Regressiongrouped dataOLSbinary outcome2020@Pol. An.1 R file 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Fixed Effects Can Skew Rare Event Predictions, New Method Fixes It
Civil War Fixed Effects Monte Carlo Logistic Regressionrare events data2020@PSR&M 2 R files 1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

New Sampling Method Enters Political Science Mainstream
Social Networks syria Network Analysisrds methodrespondent driven samplinghidden populations2020@POP 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Why Log-Log Plots Mislead: Rethinking Power Laws in Public Budgets
power lawstochastic processpublic budgetslog-log plotstatistical testing2020@Pol. An.1 R file 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Which Text-Matching Methods Actually Work? Evidence From 100+ Tests
Causal Inferencetext matchingmatch qualitytext representationdistance metric2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Spatial Weights Are Mismeasured: A Practical Test for Spatial Models
Measurement Error Monte Carlo Panel Data Causal Inferencespatial weights2020@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Field Guide to Measuring Political Networks
Network MeasurementPolitical ScienceRelational DataNode Ties Tradeoff2020@PSR&M 2 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

When Subgroup Comparisons Mislead: The Problem With Conditional AMCEs
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint ExperimentsInteractionsMarginal MeansF-test2020@Pol. An.5 datasets Dataverse

i

Context Matters: A Dirichlet-Process Model for Hidden Effect Heterogeneity
Comparative AnalysisDirichlet processlatent heterogeneitygeneralized linear modelsHamiltonian Monte Carlo2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Using Multiple Modes to Spot Measurement Error in Experiments
Measurement Errorexperimental modesheterogeneous effectsnonparametricMTurk2020@Pol. An.4 R files 7 datasets Dataverse

i

Women's March cellphone data reveals news/social media accurately reflect protest size
cellphone datawomenâ€™s marchgeolocated tweetsprotest size2020@APSR 8 R files 23 datasets Dataverse

i

Online Coders Revolutionize Political Video Analysis: Speed & Cost Efficiency Unlocked
Content AnalysisOnline CodingCrowd AggregationPolitical Communication2020@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How Text Mining Predicts When Rival Parties Will React (Evidence From Slovakia)
Time Series Analysispartisan responsivenessLDASlovakiaclassification2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Flawed Controls in Political Science Models
Interactive EffectsQuadratic TermsControl StrategiesRegularized Estimators2020@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Facebook Ads Can Approximate Representative US Public Opinion on Climate Change
Social Mediaquota samplingus public opinionacs validation2020@PSR&M 3 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Online Recruitment in India vs. U.S.: Not All Samples Can Make Valid Inferences
Representative SamplesConvenience SamplesPartisanship EffectsUS BenchmarksIndia Recruitment2020@PSR&M 16 R files 14 datasets Dataverse

i

A Better Alternative to Inverse Probability Weighting for Time-Varying Causal Effects
Causal Inferenceresidual balancingMSMIPWcontinuous treatments2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Shadowing Political Elites: A Scalable Way to Observe Daily Behavior
ElitesShadowingFieldworkObservational Methods2020@Pol. An.2 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Do Sponsor Logos Bias Online Surveys? Evidence Says No
Measurement Error Survey Experimentssponsorshiponline surveyssatisficing2020@JXPS 2 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Spatial Interdependence in IV Studies: A Surprising Blind Spot for Researchers
Spatial Models Instrumental VariablesOLS BiasMonte Carlo Simulation2020@PSR&M 18 R files 1 Stata file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Geographic Data Points to Better Case Selection and Richer Theory Development
Mixed Methodsspatial autocorrelationcase selectiontheory development2020@PSR&M 3 R files Dataverse

i

Text Alone Can Bridge the Gap Between Spatial Voting Theory and Policy Positions
Spatial VotingPolicy PositionsText Scaling2020@APSR 1 R file 1 Stata file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Stacked Regression Beats MRP for Local Public Opinion Estimation
Multilevel Modeling Poststratification Machine Learning Public Opinionstacked regression and poststratification2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Geographical Correlation Matters: CAR Models Improve State Politics Analysis
Multilevel Modelingspatial autocorrelationUnited States statesBayesian estimation2020@PSR&M 9 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Party Intercepts Can't Pin Down Valence in Spatial Models
Germanyvalencediscrete choiceparty interceptsspatial theory2020@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

How Reliable Are Sensitivity Analyses?
Sensitivity Analysismodel averagingvariable influence2020@PSR&M 61 R file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

When Networks Are Wrong, Spatial Models Mislead — BMA Fixes It
Spatial Models Bayesian Methods Monte Carlo Network Analysisbayesian model averagingspatial autoregression2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Amazon Mechanical Turk's Data Quality Crisis: New Insights into Detection
Mechanical TurkVPNsdata qualityfraud detection2020@PSR&M 1 R file 4 Stata files 40 datasets Dataverse

i

When Surveys Get Interrupted: How Unexpected Events Reveal Causal Effects
Causal Inference Natural Experimentunexpected eventsESSCharlie Hebdo2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Word Order Matters: LSTMs Improve Political Text Classification
Social MediaLSTMtext classificationword ordernewspapers2020@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Voter Registration Records Sharpen MRP Estimates to County and District Levels
Poststratification Elections Multilevel Modeling Survey Data Voter Registrationexit polls2020@Pol. An.5 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

BLUE Not Best? Non-Normal Errors Challenge Least Squares in Political Data
BLUE EstimatorLeast Squares MethodNon-Normal ErrorsPolitical Data2020@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Expert Disagreement: Mean vs Median Responses Lead to Different Survey Outcomes
Expert Surveysmean responsemedian responsemodal responseEU integration2020@PSR&M 9 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Better Measuring Populist Attitudes Matters for Understanding Democracy's Health
non compensatory measuresmulti dimensional constructspopulist attitudesfive populism scales2020@APSR 13 R files 46 Stata files 17 datasets Dataverse

i

Sensitivity Bias in Surveys: New Insights from 30 Years of List Experiments
List Experiment List ExperimentsSocial reference theorysensitivity biasmeasurement approach2020@APSR Dataverse

i

Party Embeddings Reveal Ideology Hidden in Parliamentary Speech
Political Ideologyword embeddingsparty embeddingsparliamentary corporamanifestos2020@Pol. An.1 R file 15 datasets Dataverse

i
2019
How Misclassified Failures Distort Survival Studies — And a Bayesian Fix
Civil WarmisclassificationsurvivalBayesiansplit-population2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How To Test Long-Run Relationships When Stationarity Is Unknown
SimulationCointegrationLong-Run MultiplierUnit RootBounds Testing2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

DiD vs Lagged Outcomes: Why Estimates Bracket the Truth
Difference-In-Differenceslagged-outcomeparallel-trendsignorabilitysemiparametric2019@Pol. An.1 R file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Edges Make Edges: Rethinking How Political Networks Form
AlliancesLSGMnodes-as-actionsnetwork dynamicscosponsorship2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Multinomial Ideal-Point Models: Reclassifying Nonresponse Reveals Hidden Conservatism
American National Election Studies ANES Ideal Points Survey DatamultinomialEM algorithm2019@Pol. An.3 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Dropping Manipulation-Check Failures Can Produce Serious Bias
Causal Inference Experimental Methodsmanipulation checkbounds2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Standard G-Estimation Misses: Regression-With-Residuals Handles Effect Moderation
CDEg-estimationRWR2019@Pol. An.1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Matching Meets Stratified Sampling: A Practical Theory of Inference
Causal Inference MatchingStratified samplingPropensity scoreTreatment effects2019@Pol. An.2 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Non-Random Measurement Error: A New Tool for Political Scientists
Sensitivity Analysisnon-random errorpolitical scientistsstatistical models2019@PSR&M 9 R files Dataverse

i

Flexible Stats Challenge Survey Data Gold Standard
Survey Data Bayesian Methods Machine Learning Multilevel Modeling2019@APSR 3 R files Dataverse

i

Accurate Causal Estimates: Bivariate Probit Models Using Bayesian vs Maximum Likelihood Estimation
Causal Inferencebivariate probit modelsbayesian estimationmaximum likelihood estimation2019@PSR&M 17 R files 4 Stata files Dataverse

i

Why Algorithms Still Beat Crowds at Predicting Recidivism
recidivismstatistical learningMTurkpredictive accuracyalgorithmic fairness2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Dynamic Pies Reveal More Than Just Budget Breakdowns Across US States
US States Time Series Analysiscompositional datadynamic visualization2019@PSR&M 1 Stata file 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Rethinking Random Forest vs. Logit for Predicting Rare Civil War Onsets
civil war onsetMachine Learning Logistic Regressionclass-imbalanced datapredictive methods2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Network Effects Cause Interference In State Legislature Experiments
Field Experiment Network Analysisspillover effectslegislative politics2019@SPPQ Dataverse

i

Clearing Up Confusion in Political Research Design
Preregistration Monte Carlo Simulationresearch designanalytical featuresdiagnosands2019@APSR Dataverse

i

Survey Experiments Resistant to Demand Effects: A Counterintuitive Look
Survey Experimentsdemand effectsonline political science research2019@APSR 4 R files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Recovering Time-Varying Population Distributions From Sparse Marginal Data
Time Series Analysis Poststratificationecological inferenceDirichletestsubpop2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Bayesian Models Reconstruct Country-Year Public Opinion on Democracy
Public OpinionBayesianlatent traitdemocracy supportpanel smoothing2019@Pol. An.4 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Robust Dynamic Model Reveals Sudden Political Shocks Missed by Standard Models
Democracy Time Series Analysislatent variablesdynamic modelsjudicial ideology2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Do Survey Experiments on Mechanical Turk Generalize? New Replication Evidence Provides Insights.
experimental generalizationMechanical Turk replicatesdemographic variationtreatment effects2019@PSR&M 7 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Linking Survey Items to Real Preferences: Hierarchical Models That Reveal Polarization
Political Polarizationitem responselatent preferencehierarchical IRThIRT2019@Pol. An.10 R files Dataverse

i

Blending Polls and Fundamentals Improves Multi-Party Election Forecasts
voting and electionsElection Forecasts Bayesian Methodspublic opinion pollsmulti-party systemscoalition governments2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Interview Mode Shifts Responses: Self-Completing vs Face-to-Face for Cognitively Diverse Audiences
item non-responseself-complete surveysin-person interviewscognitive skillsU.S.response variation2019@PSR&M 5 Stata files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Newspapers Reveal Political Power Through Coverage Space
newspaper coverageword frequencyhistorical USstate party committees2019@PSR&M 1 R file 4 Stata files 18 datasets Dataverse

i

A Simpler, Better Way to Model Network Data: AME Beats ERGM and LSM
Network AnalysisBayesiandyadic datalatent space2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When List Experiments Mislead: Fixing Measurement Error in Sensitive Surveys
List Experiment List Experiments Measurement ErrorNLSregMLregmisspecification test2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Lost in Translation: How Aggregation Masks Key Insights in Event Data
Measurement Errorreport level dataaggregation biasMMAD dataset2019@AJPS 1 R file 4 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Lost in Translation? New Algorithm Fixes Geolocation Accuracy
Machine Learninggeolocationsupervised algorithmlocation mentionsn-gram patternsnews articles2019@PSR&M 1 R file 17 datasets Dataverse

i

How Machine Learning Detects Shifts in Human Rights Standards
Human Rights Text Analysissupervised learning2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Uncertainty Changes What Spatial Models Say About Party Positions
Party Competition Spatial Models Germanymeasurement uncertaintyBayesian IRT2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Do We Measure Political Sophistication? New Methods Solve an Old Problem
political communicationstatistical modelingGoogle Books Ngramstext complexity2019@AJPS 21 R file 9 datasets Dataverse

i

How Unit Choices Warp Results — A New Measure That Reduces MAUP
Monte CarloMAUPspatial distributionsubnational2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Party Labels Improve Polarization Measurement in UK Commons Speeches (1811–2015)
Partisanship uk house of commons Machine Learning Political Polarization Text Analysissupervised methods2019@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

BigKRLS Makes Kernel Models Fast Enough for Real Political Data
KRLSbigKRLSkernel methodscomputational efficiencymarginal effects2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How To Reveal Direction In Symmetric Networks
Simulationnetwork reconstructiondirected networksinvestment treaties2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How More Zero Location Mentions Impairs Geolocation Accuracy
Machine Learninglocation accuracyzeroscontextual features2019@PSR&M Dataverse

i

New Approach Tamest Multilingual Sentiment Analysis For Measuring Parliamentary Conflict
Legislative Behavior Speech-as-Data Text Analysistranslatable dictionary2019@LSQ 44 R files 1 Stata file 10 datasets Dataverse

i

Factual Checks Reveal Attention: A New Tool for Experimental Clarity
Experimental Methodsfactual manipulation checksattention measurement2019@AJPS 2 Stata files 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Fixed-Effects Models Can Make Estimates More Biased Than OLS
Fixed Effects Panel Datadynamic misspecificationHausman testomitted variables2019@Pol. An.3 Stata files Dataverse

i

Ignoring Inattentive Respondents Biases Political Surveys — Even List Experiments
Survey Data List Experiments Measurement Errorinstructed response2019@Pol. An.2 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Small Cluster Numbers? New Tools Help Political Scientists Get More Accurate Results
Cluster Robust Standard ErrorsIbragimov Mueller MethodStata SoftwareR Packages2019@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Simulate Events to Spot Bad Fits in Relational Event Models
Survival Analysisrelational eventsevent simulationmodel fitnetwork dynamics2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Who Are IV Compliers? A Simple Way to Profile Them
Instrumental Variablescompliersnoncompliancestatalocal average treatment effect late2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Heavy-Tailed Policy Changes: Why Normal Distributions Might Mislead Researchers
heavy-tailed distributionpolicy change modelswithin-time variancenormal distribution2019@R&P 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

When 'No Liars' Fails: Bounding Sensitive Answers in List Experiments
California List Experiments Survey Experiments2019@Pol. An.6 R files Dataverse

i

Replications in Context: A Framework for Evaluating New Methods in Quantitative Political Science
2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Mapping Nigeria's Elite Connections with Scraping Algorithms: A New Approach to Political Networks
Scraping AlgorithmsNigeriaElite NetworksPatronage Politics2019@PSR&M 5 R files 23 datasets Dataverse

i

New Method for Simulating Duration Data Improves Cox Model Accuracy
duration analysiscox proportional hazardshazard function simulationnon-parametric survival2019@PSR&M 8 R files Dataverse

i

Can Speech Recognition Replace Human Transcripts in Political Text Analysis?
Text Analysisspeech recognitionbag-of-wordsWERSIMR2019@Pol. An.12 R files Dataverse

i

Material Actions Outweigh Words in Diplomatic Crises: A Signal Clarity Study
Germany Machine Learning Russia Signaling United Statescredibility2019@APSR 3 R files 23 datasets Dataverse

i

Student Samples Vary Demographically but Produce Similar Experimental Effects
Survey Experimentsstudent samplesexternal validitycrisis bargainingtreatment heterogeneity2019@Pol. An.1 Stata file 9 datasets Dataverse

i

Real-Time Financial Stress Insights Could Reshape Political Behavior Research
Voting Behavior Public Opinionfinancial stressdigital measurement2019@BJPS Dataverse

i

Machine Coded Data? Not Always Better Than Human Coding for Underreporting Bias
underreporting biasstate repression eventsAgence France-PresseAssociated Pressmachine coding2019@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Venezuela Land Reforms: Individual vs Aggregate Data Matters for Testing Distributive Politics
Venezuela Land Reformsindividual-level datamacro-level analysisdistributive targeting2019@PSR&M 9 Stata files 6 datasets Dataverse

i

Probabilistic Model Streamlines Large-Scale Data Merging
Administrative Dataprobabilistic modelrecord linkagelarge-scale merging2019@APSR Dataverse

i

Survey Incentives Increased Responses but Weights Failed to Remove Nationalist Bias
Instrumental Variables Survey Data Switzerland Field Experimentsurvey weights2019@Pol. An.8 Stata files Dataverse

i

There’s No Magic Formula: Expert Reliability Falls Flat Across Many Characteristics
expert reliabilitylatent traits estimationordinal IRT modelcoder-level data2019@R&P Dataverse

i

Unit Fixed Effects Models: A Heads-Up on Their Hidden Limitations
unit fixed effectsnonparametric matchingregression modelsdynamic causality2019@AJPS 7 R files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

When Propensity Score Matching Hurts: Why Better Matching Beats PSM
Matching Causal Inference2019@Pol. An.Dataverse

i
2018
When Imputation Hurts: Listwise Deletion Outperforms Under MNAR
Multiple Imputation Simulationlistwise deletionmissing not at random mnar2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

New Statistical Method Challenges Causal Inference Standards in Political Science
Causal Inferenceequivalence testingbalance testsplacebo testsnatural experiments2018@AJPS 2 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Identify Direct Effects in Survey Experiments Without Risky Assumptions
Survey Experiments Causal Inferencefactorial designselection on observablesdirect effect2018@Pol. An.2 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

New Method Shows U.S. Supreme Court Arguments' Quality Highly Susceptible to Unseen Confounders
ConfounderSupreme Court Justice VotingSimultaneous Sensitivity AnalysisOral Argument Quality2018@PSR&M 1 R file 5 Stata files 29 datasets Dataverse

i

How Classifier Accuracy Measures Polarization in Westminster Politics
Political Polarization uk house of commonsclassification accuracyWestminstertext classification2018@Pol. An.6 R files 7 Datasets Dataverse

i

How Do We Know What People Think Locally? New Insights on Survey Accuracy
post-stratificationconstituency-level predictorsgeographic smoothingbritish 2010 election2018@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Detect Hidden Actor Roles in Dynamic Networks With ego-TERGM
ego-TERGMlatent roleslongitudinal networksexpectation-maximizationKapferer2018@Pol. An.2 R files Dataverse

i

WTO Membership Linked to Unrelated Outcomes: A Problem of Selection Bias
Selection Biasenvironmental treatiesinformed research2018@BJPS 17 Stata files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

Neurotics Avoid Ideological Questions Due to Error Aversion
Bayesian HierarchyNeuroticism AvoidanceCCES SurveyIdeological Uncertainty2018@PSR&M 23 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

A New Approach to Boosting Credibility in Political Science Observational Studies
observational studiespredictive validitygeneralization errorregularization2018@PSR&M 1 R file Dataverse

i

How Senate Speeches and Votes Reveal Hidden Ideology and Leadership
US Congressspatial preferencesGaussian copulafactor modeltext2018@Pol. An.8 R files 16 datasets Dataverse

i

Flexible Likelihood Models Slash Bias in Political Causal Inference
Causal Inference Matching International OrganizationsHeckman2018@Pol. An.50 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

ARDL Models Offer More Robust Approach to Cointegration Testing in Time Series Analysis
ARDL ModelBounds TestCointegration TestingDynamic Modeling2018@AJPS 1 R file 21 Stata file 64 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Your Experimental Data Might Be Messed Up - And How to Fix It
Causal Inference Regression Discontinuityconditioning biasposttreatment control2018@AJPS 2 R files 5 datasets Dataverse

i

When Interaction Models Go Wrong: Simple Checks to Avoid Misleading Results
Replication Causal Inferenceinteraction effectsnonlinear models2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Correcting Causal Inference Biases in Time-Series Cross-Sectional Studies
Selection Biastime series cross sectionwelfare spendinglagged effects2018@APSR 4 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Measure Individual Ideology From Social Media Short Texts With a Dynamic Lexicon
Political Ideology Social Mediatext-scalinglexiconvoting intentions2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Fixed Effects Models: How Researchers Misinterpret Their Impact
Causal Inference Fixed Effects2018@PSR&M 2 R files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

Low Information Amplifies Gender Effects; High Information Dampens Them
Laboratory Experiment Genderinformationdynamic presentationcandidate evaluation2018@Pol. An.2 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Survey Vignettes Mislead: The Hidden Information Equivalence Problem
democratic peace Survey Experiments Causal Inference Instrumental Variables International Relationsinformation equivalenceplacebo tests2018@Pol. An.7 R files 13 datasets Dataverse

i

New Methods Reveal How Freedom of Expression Leads to Democratic Change
Electionsordinal sequences analysisV-Dem datasetfreedom of expression2018@PSR&M 4 R files 11 dataset Dataverse

i

When Expert Averages Fail: IRT Fixes Cross-National Coding
V-Dem Panel DataIRTexpert codingDIF2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Labels Versus Photos Change Voter Reactions to Candidate Race
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint Experiments United Statestreatment mode2018@Pol. An.8 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

When List-Experiment Estimators Break Down: Small Errors, Big Biases
Measurement Error Monte Carlo List ExperimentsICT-MLEsurvey design2018@Pol. An.18 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Japan's 2014 Vote Didn't Give LDP a Clear Policy Mandate
manifestos Conjoint Experiments Japan Public Opinionelectoral mandate2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Frailty ERGM Reveals How Hidden Traits Warp Network Conclusions
Monte Carlo Network Analysis Social Networksfrailtymultilevel estimation2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Google Translate Works for Bag-of-Words Text Analysis
machine translationbag-of-wordstopic modelsEuroparlLDA2018@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How to Estimate Ideal Points Without Strong Assumptions
Ideal PointsNonparametricHypothesis testingMultidimensionality2018@Pol. An.8 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Adding Covariates Can Worsen Bias in Political Studies?
Omitted Variables BiasUnobserved ConfoundersCountervailing EffectsOveradjustment2018@PSR&M 2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Why Spatial Instruments Rarely Work
Spatial instrumentsExclusion restrictionSimultaneityCross-unit dependence2018@Pol. An.7 Stata files Dataverse

i

QCA's Blind Spot: Low Power Can Hide True Causal Paths
Qualitative Comparative Analysispermutation testingpower analysistruth tableconsistency2018@Pol. An.4 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Time-Varying Coefficients Mislead. Survivor Functions Reveal the Real Effects
duration analysistime-varyingsurvivor functionevent historyinterstate conflict2018@Pol. An.19 Stata files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

New Measure Reveals How Relationships Between Politicians Are Quantified
Network Analysis Western Europelatent factor modelscoalition politics2018@APSR 1 R file 1 Stata file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Realists Vs Idealists: Do Necessary Conditions Matter in QCA?
Qualitative Comparative AnalysisnecessityESAdata-miningidealism2018@Pol. An.1 R file 21 dataset Dataverse

i

Navigating Population-Based Municipal Rules in France, Germany & Italy
France Italy Regression Discontinuity Germany2018@AJPS Dataverse

i

Untangling Partial Treatment Effects When Multiple Scores Determine Eligibility
Regression Discontinuity Causal Inferencemultiple running variablesidentificationlocal difference-in-differencesquantile regression2018@Pol. An.1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Boosting Political Science Experiments with an Easy Motivation Technique
seriousness techniqueexperiment motivationstudent experimentspolitical science2018@R&P 2 Stata files Dataverse

i

Scholars vs Subjects: A Clash on Ethics for Political Field Experiments
ethics debateinformed consentdeception normssurvey studypolitical methods2018@POP 1 R file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Why Preprocessing Choices Can Make or Break Unsupervised Text Analysis
Sensitivity AnalysisPreprocessingUnsupervised LearningFeature Selection2018@Pol. An.14 R files Dataverse

i

Party Cues Shape Political Text Coding — A Surprising New Study
Immigration Policyparty cuescoder biasmanifesto texts2018@PSR&M 1 R file 2 Stata files 3 datasets Dataverse

i

Conjoint Surveys Withstand Dozens of Tasks, New Experiments Show
Conjoint Experiment Conjoint Experiments Survey ExperimentssatisficingMTurkSSI2018@Pol. An.2 R files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

LDV Misconception Corrected: Include More Lags
lagged dependent variablesregression modelsautocorrelationmonte carlo simulation2018@PSR&M 1 R file Dataverse

i

Unlock Insights in Political Science with Flexible Tree-Based Models
Machine LearningNonparametric MethodsDecision TreesRandom Forests2018@AJPS 11 R file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Partial Observability Model Flawed? Minor Errors Can Cause Big Inference Problems
Partial Observability ModelsModel CritiqueFunctional Form MisspecificationMonte Carlo Simulations2018@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How to Map Radio Reach: Signal Models Reveal Media Exposure During Mali's 2012 Coup
Media Effectspropagation modelsradioMalisignal strength2018@Pol. An.1 dataset Dataverse

i

Multiple Imputation Isn’t Always Better: When Complete-Case Regression Works
Multiple Imputationlistwise deletioncomplete-case2018@Pol. An.1 R file 2 Stata files Dataverse

i

When to Weight Survey Experiments: Why Unweighted Estimates Often Suffice
Survey Experiment Survey Experiments Poststratificationsurvey weightsSATEPATE2018@Pol. An.9 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i
2017
A Better Way To Measure Representation: The Earth Mover’s Distance
Latin America2017@Pol. An.1 R file 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

New Framework Ties Human Insight with Computer Efficiency for Political Text Analysis
pairwise comparisonhuman codingpolitical textscrowdsourcing2017@APSR Dataverse

i

Racial Names Mostly Signal Race, Not Socioeconomic Clues
ExcludabilityRacial SignalingAudit StudyLegislatorsPublic Records2017@Pol. An.2 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Voluntary Voting Didn't Boost Turnout? The Surprising Bounds on Chilean Election Data
Voter TurnoutElectoral LawCausal BoundsChilean Elections2017@PSR&M 3 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Humans Flail at Keyword Search; A Better Computer-Based Approach Emerges
Text AnalysisKeyword SelectionHuman BiasClassifier Errors2017@AJPS 3 R files 20 datasets Dataverse

i

Voter Files Aren't Always Reliable: Assessing Differential Registration Bias
Sensitivity Analysis United StatesDifferential Registration BiasVoter Files2017@AJPS 3 R files 8 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Ensembles Beat Single Models for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Causal Inferenceheterogeneous effectsensemble methodsrandomized experiments2017@Pol. An.29 R files 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Bridging the Gap: MrsP Extends Subnational Poll Predictions Beyond Census Limits
Multilevel Regression & PoststratificationSyntheticpoststratification MethodSubnational Public Opinion EstimationPolitical Representation Accuracy2017@AJPS 60 R files 13 datasets Dataverse

i

New Approach Uncovers Positive Early Voting Effects Contrasting Previous Findings
Difference-In-Differencesfront-door estimatorsbounds estimationFlorida elections2017@AJPS 2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Find Structural Breaks in Noisy Count Data—No Need to Guess How Many
changepointsDirichlet processBayesianoverdispersioncampaign contributions2017@Pol. An.24 R files 2 datasets Dataverse

i

How to Do Mixed-Methods Research When Cases Aren't Independent
Mixed Methods Spatial Modelscase selectionhomicide2017@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Long-Term Effects for Models With Temporal Dependence
2017@Pol. An.4 R files 2 Stata files 40 Datasets Dataverse

i

How to Track Influence in Incomplete Social Networks
Twittercentralityindegreenetwork sampling2017@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Data Reporting Reveals a Distinct Form of Government Transparency
Transparencydata disseminationitem responseWorld BankICRG2017@Pol. An.23 R files 2 Stata files 15 Datasets Dataverse

i

Who Benefits From Guessing on Political Knowledge Tests?
Gender Differences Political Knowledge TaiwanguessingBayesian IRT2017@Pol. An.10 R files 22 Datasets Dataverse

i

Beyond Simple Numbers: Powerful Network Analysis Techniques for Political Researchers
Social NetworksNetwork inferenceERMG modelingLatent space analysis2017@AJPS 1 R file 7 datasets Dataverse

i

Time-Varying Fixes Often Misapplied in Duration Models
Survival Analysisproportional hazardstime-varyingnonproportional hazards2017@Pol. An.4 R files 10 Stata files 9 Datasets Dataverse

i

Historical Weather Reveals Bigger Uncertainty in Rainfall’s Effect on Turnout
United States Voter Turnoutrainfallrandomization inferencevariance estimation2017@Pol. An.6 R files Dataverse

i

Newspaper Text Variation Predicts Conflict Before It Happens
Text Analysisconflict predictionpanel regressions2017@APSR Dataverse

i

Online Social Ties Mirror Offline Relationships: Implications for Political Science Research
Experimental Methods Social Networksexternal validitytie similarity2017@APSR 8 R files 6 Stata files 19 datasets Dataverse

i

How New Matching Methods Maximize Balance and Sample Size in Causal Analysis
matching methodsmatching frontiersample size optimizationbalance metrics2017@AJPS 1 R file 2 datasets Dataverse

i

How Four Simple Design Choices Make Survey Field Experiments More Efficient and Ethical
Survey Experiment Survey Experiments Field Experimentsampling frameplacebo controlcanvassing2017@Pol. An.10 R files 7 Datasets Dataverse

i

Actual vs Perceived Voting Intentions: A Family Study in Belgium
pcss datasetbelgium flemish regionperceived voting intentionactual voting intention2017@PSR&M 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Facebook Ads as a Cheap, Reliable Way to Sample Political Activists Worldwide
Time Series Analysis PoststratificationFacebookSamplingActivists2017@Pol. An.6 Datasets Dataverse

i

Detecting Who Hides Sensitive Opinions: A Regression-Based Fix for List Experiments
List Experiment List Experiments Political Ideologymisreporting2017@Pol. An.9 R files Dataverse

i

Why Unbiased Coefficients Can Still Mislead: Transformation-Induced Bias
Simulationtransformation biasmarginal effectspredicted probabilitiessmall-sample2017@Pol. An.1 dataset Dataverse

i

How Overlapping News Sources Can Fix Underreported Event Data
event datamisclassificationmaximum likelihoodmediaSCAD2017@Pol. An.11 R file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

When Absences Matter: New Tools for Asymmetric Hypotheses
asymmetryset-theorylarge-Nstochastic frontierDEA2017@Pol. An.6 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Split Samples Improve Power and Replication for Causal Studies, With Limits
Causal Inference Replicationsplit-samplepreanalysis-planstatistical power2017@Pol. An.3 Stata files Dataverse

i

How Predictive Models Complement Regression in Political Research
Forecastingpredictive modelinginterstate conflictbenchmarks2017@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Unknown Delay? Here's How Political Scientists Can Still Analyze Time Lags Effectively
Bayesian Model AveragingDistributed Lag ModelTime-Series DataAmerican Politics Examples2017@PSR&M 2 datasets Dataverse

i
2016
How Multistate Survival Models Reveal Political Phase Dynamics
Survival Analysismultistateevent-historytransitions2016@Pol. An.15 R files 5 Stata files 10 Datasets Dataverse

i

Bayesian Analysis Reveals Democracy's Boost on Social Spending in Latin America
Latin Americabayesian estimationsocial spendingdemocratic regimes2016@PSR&M Dataverse

i

Why More Open-Minded Thinking Can Deepen Climate Change Polarization
Climate Change Political Polarizationopen-mindednessconservatism2016@R&P 1 R file 1 Stata file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Direct Questions Fall Short, But Indirect Techniques Offer Better Results
List Experiment List Experimentssensitive questionsendorsement experimentrandomized response2016@AJPS Dataverse

i

Bridge Decisions Let Scholars Track Lawmakers Across Time and Chambers
Congress Ideal Points US Congressroll callscosponsorshipbridge decisions2016@Pol. An.8 R files 7 Datasets Dataverse

i

When Controlling Backfires: How Fixed Effects Amplify and Unmask Bias
Fixed Effects Sensitivity Analysis Causal InferenceBias AmplificationPlacebo Studies2016@Pol. An.2 R files 2 Stata files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Parametric Models Flawed: Inaccurate Estimates and Confidence Intervals
Parametric ModelsSpecification UncertaintyStatistical InferenceMonte Carlo Simulation2016@AJPS 8 datasets Dataverse

i

Why Binary Treatments Can Triple IV Estimates: The Hidden Bias From Coarse Measurement
Causal Inference Education Instrumental VariablesCoarseningGreat Britain2016@Pol. An.2 R files 2 Stata files 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Can Machine Learning Outpredict Logistic Regression for Civil War Onset?
civil war onsetclass imbalancerandom forestsLogistic Regressionconflict predictionpredictive methods2016@Pol. An.2 R files 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

Does Your Interaction Effect Really Need a Product Term? New Evidence on Logistic Regression
Logistic Regressionproduct terminteraction testingconditional effects2016@PSR&M Dataverse

i

How to Project Data When Geographic Boundaries Change
Areal interpolationBoundary changeSpatial aggregationGISCrosswalks2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Much Is the Prior Driving Rare-Event Logistic Results?
Logistic RegressionseparationJeffreys priorpartial priorrare events2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Representative Samples Don't Guarantee Regression Estimates: A Surprising Flaw
Causal Inference American National Election StudiesRegression WeightsExternal Validity2016@AJPS 2 datasets Dataverse

i

Beyond Simple Trade-offs: A New Model for Dynamic Political Compositions
compositional variablesdynamic modelingfixed-sum constraintsregression techniquesparty supportbudgeting decisions2016@AJPS 3 Stata files 4 datasets Dataverse

i

How Combinatorics Exposes Sensitivity Blind Spots in QCA
Qualitative Comparative Analysissensitivitycombinatoricsenumerationparameters2016@Pol. An.1 R file 3 Datasets Dataverse

i

Balancing Equations and Fractional Integration in Dynamic Political Models
Monte CarloEquation balanceError correctionFractional integrationARFIMA2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Popular Error‑Correction Model Misused in Political Time Series, Study Warns
Time Series Analysiscointegrationorder of integrationtime series methodssimulation studiesstatistical inference2016@Pol. An.4 Stata files 8 Datasets Dataverse

i

Faster Ideal Point Estimates with Less Wait for Political Scientists
ideal pointexpectation maximization algorithmmassive datavariational inference2016@APSR 140 R files 24 datasets Dataverse

i

Fractional Differencing Improves Long-Run Forecasts—Until Short Dynamics and Small Samples Intervene
Simulation Time Series Analysisfractional integrationfractional differencingGECM2016@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Why Simple ADL Trumps ARFIMA for Short Fractionally Integrated Series
SimulationFractional integrationARFIMAADLECM2016@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

i

Accounting for Guessing Raises Estimated Learning by 13% and Eliminates Gender Gap
Gender Differencesguessinglatent classDeliberative Polls2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Joint Ideological Scaling for Citizens & Elites? New Methods Address Long-Neglected Challenges
ideal point modelsestimation methodUS House memberspolitical elites2016@AJPS 44 R files 11 dataset Dataverse

i

Nearly Half of CIPE Results Vanish When Missing Data Is Imputed
Multiple Imputationlistwise deletioncomparative political economyreanalysis2016@Pol. An.30 R files 30 Stata files 87 Datasets Dataverse

i

Predicting Race from Voter Rolls Cuts Bias in Turnout Estimates
Voter Registration Voter Turnoutecological inferenceBayesian predictionsurname list2016@Pol. An.30 R files Dataverse

i

When Randomization Isn't Best: Assign Treatments to Minimize Mean Squared Error
randomizationaverage treatment effectmean squared errorMatlab2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Speeches, Not Votes: New Way to Map Lawmakers' Positions
Political Polarization Text Analysis United States irelandlegislative speech2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

When Tactics Trump Policy: Roll Call Voting in Parliaments
Britain Ideal Points Roll-Call Votes Germanytactical incentives2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

A More Powerful Test for Interference on Social Networks
Social NetworksinterferencespilloverrandomizationKS test2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

How Machine Learning Identifies Which Anti-Recidivism Policies Work in Colombia
Causal Inference Colombia Machine Learningensemblesrecidivism2016@Pol. An.13 R files 1 Stata file 4 Datasets Dataverse

i

What If Legislatures Looked Different? Simulating Counterfactual Representation
Political Polarization Proportional Representation Multilevel Modeling LGBTQpost-stratification2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Binary Outcomes Aren't Independent—But How Do We Account for That?
Civil Warspatiotemporal interdependencebinary outcomes probitmaximum simulated likelihood2016@PSR&M 4 Stata files Dataverse

i

Theory-Guided QCA Produces Conservative, Not Enhanced, Solutions
Qualitative Comparative AnalysisnecessityT/ESAtruth tablesBoolean minimization2016@Pol. An.1 R file 21 dataset Dataverse

i

When Cheap Surveys Work: Google Consumer Surveys for Causal Experiments
Causal Inference Replication Survey Experiment Survey ExperimentsGCSRandomization2016@Pol. An.6 Stata files 9 Datasets Dataverse

i

Error-Correction Models Work When Time Series Are Properly Balanced
Time Series AnalysisECMFractional integrationOverfittingLow power2016@Pol. An.16 R files Dataverse

i

Mixing Protected and Direct Survey Answers Shows When Sensitive Techniques Are Needed
CorruptionCrosswise modelIndirect questioningPrevalence estimationCosta Rica2016@Pol. An.Dataverse

i
2015
A Practical Fix for Right-Censored Spatial Duration Data
Monte Carlo Survival Analysis Multiple Imputationright censoringspatial-lag2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

i

Novel Approach Tackles Autocorrelation in Repeated Cross-Sections
Repeated cross-sectionsARFIMA modelingmultilevel modelsautocorrelation correction2015@AJPS Dataverse

i

A Flawed 1969 Draft Lottery Still Functions as a Random Instrument—With Caveats
American National Election Studies ANES Natural Experiment Instrumental Variablesdraft lotteryrandomization2015@Pol. An.1 Stata file 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

How to Get Robust Standard Errors With Dyadic Data
Logistic Regressiondyadic datasandwich estimatorcluster-robustinterstate disputes2015@Pol. An.1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

i

Citation Bias in IR Research Depends on Your Statistical Model, Study Finds
International Relationspoisson inverse gaussiancitation datastatistical specification2015@R&P 1 Stata file 2 Datasets Dataverse

i

Quantitative Precision Meets Qualitative Insight in Comparative Politics
Comparative Politics Synthetic Controlreunification2015@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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Bring Multilingual Texts Into Comparative Politics With Topic Models
Comparative Politics Text AnalysisSTMMachine translationMultilingual2015@Pol. An.7 R files Dataverse

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Measure Election Fraud From Digits Without P-Values
Election Frauddigit forensicslatent classmixture indexBeber-Scacco2015@Pol. An.2 R files 1 dataset Dataverse

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How ‘Zeroing’ Ongoing Years Warps Onset Estimates in Panel Data
Civil War Panel Dataevent onset2015@Pol. An.2 Datasets Dataverse

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How To Spot Measurement Bias In Categorical Latent Models
world values surveyMeasurement invarianceEPC-interestLatent variablesCategorical data2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

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MRP Reconstructs Country Means Well but Fails on Rankings and Ranges
Multilevel Modeling PoststratificationEurobarometerCensus2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

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How QCA Can Produce False Positives — And a Simple Fix
Qualitative Comparative Analysispermutation testfalse positivesType I errorArab Spring2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

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When Robust Standard Errors Reveal Bigger Problems — And How to Fix Them
Simulationrobust SEmisspecificationinformation matrixsoftware2015@Pol. An.3 Datasets Dataverse

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Hidden Voter Groups Alter What Explains Immigrant Turnout and Party Choice in Germany
GermanyDirichlet processBayesian nonparametricsunobserved heterogeneityimmigrant voters2015@Pol. An.1 R file 3 Datasets Dataverse

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When Voters Don't Add Up: Non-Separable Preferences Change Vote Models
Monte Carlo Spatial Votingnonseparabilityweighted euclideanvote choice2015@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Non-Ignorable Non-Response: A Hidden Variable in Roll-Call Analysis?
US Congress Legislative Behaviornon-response biasroll call analysis2015@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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RD Design Still Valid for Many Elections: A Global Comparison
Elections Incumbency Advantage Regression DiscontinuityElectoral effects2015@AJPS 2 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

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Reconsidering Time Transforms in Political Survival Analysis
Survival Analysisproportional hazardsoutlier timescensoring levels2015@AJPS Dataverse

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Beyond Statistics: Prioritizing Real-World Significance in Political Research
Descriptive Representationpractical significance testingcontext driven approach2015@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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Survey Experiments Often Omit Conditions and Outcomes, Inflating False Positives
Survey Experiment Survey Experiments Preregistrationunderreportingmultiple testingTESS2015@Pol. An.1 R file Dataverse

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New Scaling Technique Reveals Greater Ideological Polarization
Bayesian scalingdifferential item functioningANES datasetCCES survey2015@AJPS Dataverse

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Three Ways Qualitative Data Enhances Quantitative Causal Inference
Rosenbaum ApproachQualitative Outcome DataMeasurement Error ReductionConfidence Intervals Effect SizeUnmeasured Confounders Africa2015@AJPS Dataverse

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2014
Beyond Flimsy Assertions: A Better Way to Show Variables Have No Political Impact
statistical significanceconfidence intervalsnegligible effect2014@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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Testing Political Science Theory Through Confidence Regions
multidimensional scalingconfidence regionsbootstrap methodamerican national election study2014@AJPS 1 dataset Dataverse

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List vs Endorsement Experiments Converge in Afghanistan: New Statistical Methods Validate Findings
Representation Representation Gap List Experiments Afghanistanendorsement experiments2014@AJPS 8 R files Dataverse

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PULSAR Teaches Machines to Read Human Rights Reports and Spot Judgments
Human Rights Machine Learning Text AnalysisPULSARAmnesty International2014@JHR Dataverse

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Categorical Data Favor Conditional Multiple Imputation Over MVN
American National Election Studies ANES Multiple Imputationmultivariate normalconditional imputationcategorical data2014@Pol. An.1 dataset Dataverse

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How Correcting Latent Class Bias Can Underestimate Uncertainty
Monte Carlolatent classclassification errorstandard errorsthree-step2014@Pol. An.2 Datasets Dataverse

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Attention Not Enough? Why Single Survey Screeners Fall Short in Political Studies
Representationattentionself-administered surveys2014@AJPS 3 Stata files 8 datasets Dataverse

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Semiaautomating Survey Response Analysis
Structural Topic ModelOpen-Ended SurveysExperimental Political ScienceAutomated Text Analysis2014@AJPS Dataverse

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Does How We Ask About Political Knowledge Matter? New Insights from Examining Time-Specific vs. General Facts
Political Knowledge Gender Differences Media EffectsTypology2014@APSR Dataverse

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2013
Why Common ANES Knowledge Scales Mislead Group Comparisons
American National Election Studies ANES Political Knowledgemeasurement invarianceDIFCFA2013@Pol. An.5 Datasets Dataverse

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Choosing Between Average Effects and Observed-Value Estimates in Political Science Research
Limited Dependent Variable ModelsAverage EffectObserved Value ApproachLDV Analysis2013@AJPS 2 datasets Dataverse

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Deepening MRP Analysis: How Voter Turnout Changes Differ Across Complex Demographic Subgroups
MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification)subgroup interactionsvoter turnout patternssurvey weighting techniquesnonlinearity modeling2013@AJPS Dataverse

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How Blogs Chose Links in 2004: A Dynamic Network Logistic Choice Study
Electionsnetwork dynamicslogistic choiceblogs2004 electiontemporal ERGM2013@Pol. An.Dataverse

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Small Country Samples: Why Bayesian Wins Over Frequentist Multilevel Models
Multilevel ModelingMonte Carlo ExperimentBayesian EstimationCross-Level Interactions2013@AJPS 2 Stata files 1 dataset Dataverse

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When Algorithms Read Politics: Promise and Pitfalls of Text-as-Data
Machine Learning Text Analysisvalidationnatural language processingpolitical texts2013@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2012
Surveys Misread Global Views on Democracy: How Nonsubstantive Responses Skew Results
Survey Data Democracyresponse ratesdata accuracy2012@PS 2 Stata files Dataverse

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2011
Connecting Micro and Macro Partisanship
2011@Pol. An.1 Stata file 1 dataset Dataverse

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Better Policy Measurement: Log Odds-Ratio Scaling vs. Current Word Count Approaches
log odds ratiopolitical texts scalingcomparative manifesto projectpolicy dimension measurement2011@LSQ 2 datasets Dataverse

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Beyond Assumptions: New Paths to Causal Understanding
Sensitivity Analysiscausal mechanismminimum assumptionestimation algorithm2011@APSR Dataverse

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2007
Multicollinearity Mess-Up? Don't Drop Your Variables!
MulticollinearityRegression ModelsSimulated DataInteraction Terms2007@SPPQ Dataverse

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When History Misleads: Detecting Model-Dependent Counterfactual Claims
counterfactual inferenceCausal Inferencemodel dependenceDemocratizationun peacebuilding2007@ISQ Dataverse

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2004
New Method Tames Roll Call Data: A Bayesian Twist on Spatial Voting Models
Bayesian MethodsRoll Call Data AnalysisSpatial Voting Models2004@APSR Dataverse

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2003
Mokken Scale Analysis: A Nonparametric Version of Guttman Scaling for Survey Research
2003@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2002
A Simple Regression That Predicts Multiparty Vote Shares As Well As Katz‑King
vote sharesSURKatz-Kingmultiparty electionsClarify2002@Pol. An.Dataverse

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2000
This Means That: A New Model Predicts International Conflict More Accurately
Neural NetworksQuantitative Conflict Analysis2000@APSR 3 Stata files 2 datasets Dataverse

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1999
New Model Reveals Incumbency Advantage in British Elections is Smaller Than Thought
Incumbency Advantage United KingdomStatistical ModelMultiparty Elections1999@APSR 1 dataset Dataverse

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