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New Study Finds @realDonaldTrump's Mexico Tweets Significantly Impact Peso Volatility

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Financial markets react strongly to new information about government policy direction and resolve.

Market Sensitivity: This study argues that tweets from U.S. President Donald J. Trump regarding Mexico significantly affected financial markets, specifically increasing Mexican peso volatility.

The Tweet Effect: The analysis focuses on็‰นๆœ—ๆ™ฎ's Mexico-related tweets during his presidency, demonstrating how these communications influenced investor behavior by signaling policy resolve.

Social Media Signal: Using data on Trump_tweets and the U.S.-Mexico exchange rate, researchers find that social media allows investors to quickly assess both a president's likely policy direction and their commitment level.

This research highlights an important function of digital communication in modern finance: providing real-time insights into presidential resolve.

Article card for article: Does the @realDonaldTrump Really Matter to Financial Markets?
Does the @realDonaldTrump Really Matter to Financial Markets? was authored by Allyson L. Benton and Andrew Q. Philips. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2020.
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American Journal of Political Science