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Guns or Money? How Defense Networks and Economic Lending Coevolve in Unexpected Ways
Insights from the Field
Multiplex Networks
Security Communities
Rational Choice Theory
Government-to-Government Loans
International Relations
BJPS
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Dataverse
Guns or Money? Defense Cooperation and Bilateral Lending as Coevolving Networks was authored by Brandon Kinne and Jonas Bunte. It was published by Cambridge in BJPS in 2020.

Defense cooperation agreements (DCAs) and government-to-government loans are linked by more than just surface similarities. This article explores how these two forms of economic-cooperation coexist yet can sometimes clash on deeper levels.

At the bilateral level, governments often pursue complementary interests—using one to encourage the other—but their actions also shape broader networks in distinct ways:

Bilateral Interests: Governments use issue linkages and side payments between pairs of countries to foster mutual benefits across both defense collaboration and economic lending. These interactions aim to strengthen ties through reciprocity.

Network-Level Effects: DCAs tend to build 'security communities'—groups of nations with shared defense interests—while loans establish asymmetric political hierarchies that can undermine cooperative efforts:

• Highly active borrowers depend on loan networks for geopolitical positioning, potentially undermining the collaborative spirit expected in DCA partnerships

• Governments deeply involved in lending are more susceptible to using financial leverage as a tool for exerting influence incompatible with building equal-defense partnerships

Conflict Contexts: When one network dominates (e.g., extensive loans), governments may be less inclined or able to foster truly cooperative defense relationships.

The study develops a longitudinal model of multiplex network coevolution that reveals both reinforcing and conflicting dynamics between these two spheres—providing scholars with new insights into the complex interplay between economic cooperation and security collaboration.

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British Journal of Political Science
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