FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   ANALYZE DATA: Help with R | SPSS | Stata | Excel   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | Int'l Relations | Law & Courts
   FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | IR | Law & Courts
If this link is broken, please report as broken. You can also submit updates (will be reviewed).
Insights from the Field

Closer elections get fewer invalid ballots? New study finds evidence of rational effort by officials


Close Elections
Rational Effort Theory
Italian Elections Data
Invalid Ballots Detection
Voting and Elections
PSR&M
5 Stata files
1 text files
3 datasets
Dataverse
Invalid Ballots and Electoral Competition was authored by Giovanni Mastrobuoni and Gani Aldashev. It was published by Cambridge in PSR&M in 2019.

New research examines how close election outcomes affect the rate of invalid ballots. ⚠️ Using 7 years of Italian parliamentary election data (1994-2001), this paper analyzes hand-counted paper-ballots and their impact on electoral results.

📊 Key findings:

* A strong negative correlation exists between the closeness of an election race and the share of invalid ballots.

* Closer races feature significantly lower rates of rejected votes.

🧠 The explanation: This pattern is attributed to rational allocation of effort by election officials and party representatives. They anticipate potential invalid ballot challenges in close elections, leading them to process more carefully ⭐ not due to voter mistakes or fraud. Hand-counted paper-ballots allow this strategic adjustment.

🏛️ Real-World Significance: This discovery offers insights into electoral administration behaviors in contexts outside digital voting systems.

data
Find on Google Scholar
Find on JSTOR
Find on CUP
Podcast host Ryan