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How One Weekend of Deliberation Changed Voting a Year Later

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🔎 What Was Tested

This article asks whether a concentrated deliberative experience can produce lasting political effects. The case is "America in One Room," a national field experiment that brought together more than 500 randomly selected registered voters from across the United States to deliberate about five major national issues.

📋 How Participants Were Studied

  • A nationally recruited group of more than 500 registered voters participated in a weekend deliberative event focused on five major issues.
  • A pre-post control group was surveyed on the same questions immediately after the weekend and again about one year later.
  • Outcomes included self-reported voting intentions and verified actual voting behavior one year after the intervention.

Key Findings

  • Deliberators showed significant differences in both voting intentions and actual voting behavior one year after the event compared to the control group.
  • These downstream differences are best explained by an increase in a latent variable identified as political engagement: the deliberative experience appears to have stimulated deeper engagement that persisted over time.

🧭 Why This Matters

  • If deliberation produces durable increases in political engagement, it provides a substantive rationale for efforts to scale deliberative processes beyond isolated events.
  • The article evaluates options for scaling and situates those proposals within the broader debate over mini-publics—deliberative pockets embedded in an otherwise non-deliberative society—highlighting tensions between impactful small-group deliberation and ambitions for wider civic reach.
Article card for article: Can Deliberation Have Lasting Effects?
Can Deliberation Have Lasting Effects? was authored by James Fishkin, Valentin Bolotnyy, Joshua Lerner, Alice Siu and Norman Bradburn. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2024.
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