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Economic Integration Makes Voters Across Europe Think Alike
Insights from the Field
Voter Preferences
Economic Integration
European Union
Eurozone
Dyadic Analysis
European Politics
AJPS
1 R files
1 Stata files
4 Datasets
1 PDF
2 Text
Dataverse
The Economic Roots of Cross-National Similarity in Voter Preferences was authored by David Fortunato, Sebastian Juhl and Laron K Williams. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2025.

📌 What Was Tested

This research argues that greater economic and political integration pushes voter preferences toward cross-national convergence rather than divergence.

📊 Data: Voter Preferences in 30 Democracies, 1976–2022

  • Uses voter preference data from 30 European democracies covering 1976–2022.
  • Measures the similarity of preference distributions across state dyads over time.
  • Documents an average increase in cross-national similarity of voter preferences across the study period.

🔍 How the Relationship Was Assessed

  • Statistical models relate temporal changes in preference similarity to economic and political integration measures.
  • Key independent variables include similarity and complementarity in economic production and co-participation in the European Union and the Eurozone.

🔎 Key Findings

  • Greater similarity and complementarity in economic production are associated with increasingly similar voter preferences across countries.
  • Co-participation in the European Union and the Eurozone is also linked to rising cross-national preference similarity.
  • These associations are robust in the dyadic, longitudinal analysis of preference distributions.

🌐 Why It Matters

  • Broadens understanding of how globalization reshapes domestic political preferences.
  • Provides theoretical and empirical grounding for literatures on the cross-national diffusion of party strategies and on the political effects of macroeconomic shocks (for example, trade shocks or banking crises).
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