Courts of last resort in the American states are key settings for testing how institutions shape judicial behavior. A central input for that work is individual judges' preferences—ideal points—measured in policy space.
🧭 What Is Being Measured and Why It Matters
- Focus: individual judges' ideal points on a common ideological scale.
- Existing approaches: Brace, Langer, and Hall (2000) Party-Adjusted Judge Ideology and Bonica and Woodruff (2014) judicial CFscores.
- Goal: improve measurement by combining distinct information sources to better recover judges' latent preferences.
🛠️ How Votes and CFscores Were Combined
- Method: integrate Bonica and Woodruff's CFscores with item response theory (IRT) estimates of judicial voting behavior.
- Scope: all 52 state courts of last resort, covering 1995–2010.
- Key technical features:
- Dynamic estimation that allows judges' ideological leanings to change over time.
- Mapping of judges into a single common space for cross-court comparability.
🔎 Key Findings
- Leveraging two distinct sources of information—roll-call votes and CFscores—produces a superior estimation strategy compared to either existing measure alone.
- The combined measure outperforms Party-Adjusted Judge Ideology and CFscores in predicting judges' votes.
- The dynamic, common-space estimate enables tracking ideological shifts within and across state courts.
⚖️ Why This Matters for Judicial Politics
- The new measure provides researchers a more accurate, time-sensitive way to recover judicial preferences, strengthening inferences about how institutions and contexts influence state supreme court behavior.
- As a superior predictive tool, it offers practical value for research on judicial decision-making and comparative analyses across states.






