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China's Economic Rise Pushes Small Nations Towards South-South Trade Deals
Insights from the Field
South-south Trade Agreements
China Competition Effect
BRICS Countries
International Relations
ISQ
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3 Datasets
Dataverse
David and Goliath? Small Developing Countries, Large Emerging Markets, and South-south Preferential Trade Agreements was authored by Daniela Donno and Nita Rudra. It was published by Oxford in ISQ in 2019.

The emergence of large BRICS nations has complicated the trade landscape for smaller, surplus-labor developing countries. This study theorizes that SSPTAs serve as a response to being overshadowed by these economic giants.

Context:

Our findings indicate China poses the most significant challenge among all BRICS nations.

Evidence & Method:

Countries initiating the most South-South agreements are those suffering from the greatest export displacement due to Chinese competition. Importantly, this effect is specific to China;

Other BRICS countries do not have a similar impact on SSPTA formation.

We confirm these results with multiple measures of 'China shock' intensity.

Significance:

This research helps explain two trends: the decline in trade between developing nations and rich countries, coupled with an increase in South-South preferential agreements. It demonstrates that China's economic ascent has tangible consequences for global trade patterns.

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International Studies Quarterly
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