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Insights from the Field

Long-Term Trust Shattered: Failed Student Movements and Enduring Repression Effects


Regression discontinuity
Student protests
Intergenerational trust
Authoritarian regimes
Asian Politics
CPS
2 R files
1 datasets
Dataverse
The Long-Term Impact of Mobilization and Repression on Political Trust was authored by Scott Desposato, Gang Wang and Jason Y Wu. It was published by Sage in CPS in 2021.

Authoritarian regimes respond to student movements through repression, often erasing these events from public memory. This study investigates how such failed mobilizations impact long-term political trust using a survey of college graduates spanning over 25 years post-movement. The methodology employs fuzzy regression discontinuity analysis, comparing individuals who began college before major protests versus those enrolled afterward.

Key Findings: Individuals exposed to suppressed student movements during college are significantly less trusting of the central government than subsequent generations. This effect persists even when the movement remains a taboo topic in public discourse.

Real-World Implications: The experience of state repression against mass mobilization profoundly shapes intergenerational political attitudes, potentially contributing to long-term democratic backsliding or institutional fatigue.

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