FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   ANALYZE DATA: Help with R | SPSS | Stata | Excel   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | Int'l Relations | Law & Courts
   FIND DATA: By Author | Journal | Sites   WHAT'S NEW? US Politics | IR | Law & Courts
If this link is broken, please report as broken. You can also submit updates (will be reviewed).
Insights from the Field

Brexit Votes Divided: Voters' Preferences Clash with Legitimacy in Negotiations


Brexit
conjoint experiment
legitimacy
sovereignty referendum
European Politics
Pol. Behav.
1 R files
1 other files
2 datasets
1 text files
Dataverse
Policy Preferences and Policy Legitimacy After Referendums: Evidence from the Brexit Negotiations was authored by Thomas J. Leeper, Sara B Hobolt and James Tilley. It was published by Springer in Pol. Behav. in 2022.

### Policy Ambiguity After Brexit Referendums

Following the 2016 EU membership referendum, voters displayed stark divisions regarding their preferred policy outcomes and perceptions of legitimacy.

British citizens who voted Leave or Remain held contrasting views on what constituted ideal Brexit results across key negotiation issues.

The study finds that despite clear mandate for leaving the EU, voters were largely unable to agree on specific policies they desired from negotiations or considered legitimate.

### Method: Measuring Voter Attitudes

A comprehensive analysis employed a nationally representative conjoint experiment design.

This approach allowed researchers to precisely gauge public opinion across multiple variables simultaneously.

Data gathered reflected nuanced voter perspectives regarding sovereignty, control, and outcomes.

### Key Findings

* Voters' policy preferences were highly specific yet varied significantly between referendum groups.

* There was substantial disagreement among Leave voters on preferred Brexit policies.

* No outcome achieved unanimous legitimacy approval from the voting public.

* The study reveals a significant disconnect between referendum votes and clear post-referendum consensus.

### Political Implications

These findings highlight critical tensions in direct democracy systems.

Referendums may grant formal mandate but fail to establish substantive popular agreement on complex policy negotiations.

The results question assumptions about democratic representation when dealing with multifaceted political outcomes.

data
Find on Google Scholar
Find on JSTOR
Find on Springer
Podcast host Ryan