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Presidential Spending: Rewarding Swing State Loyalists Strategically
Insights from the Field
presidential particularism
swing states targeting
core partisan counties
election cycles
American Politics
APSR
1 Stata files
1 datasets
Dataverse
Presidential Particularism and Divide-the-Dollar Politics was authored by Douglas Kriner and Andrew Reeves. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2015.

Does federal spending target politically influential groups?

This study analyzes county-level spending from 1984 to 2008, finding presidents systematically favor specific constituencies despite claims of universalism. Presidents reliably direct funds toward co-partisan congressional districts and core partisan counties within swing states.

Specifically targeting political leverage points:

• Swing state particularism is especially prominent during reelection campaigns

• Core partisan counties within swing states receive the heaviest allocations

• Both loyal supporter areas (core partisan) and co-partisan bases (swing) are rewarded, challenging universalistic claims

Contrary to ideal policy pursuit or median voter theory, our findings suggest presidents strategically allocate resources based on political considerations rather than solely efficiency or broad public benefit.

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American Political Science Review
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