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Insights from the Field

Poverty Doesn't Fuel Militant Support in Pakistan—Exposure Does


Pakistan
poor survey
affect measurement
exposure bias
extremism
Asian Politics
AJPS
5 Stata files
1 text files
1 PDF files
Dataverse
Poverty and Support for Militant Politics: Evidence from Pakistan was authored by Graeme Blair, C. Christine Fair, Neil Malhotra and Jacob N. Shapiro. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2013.

Contrary to popular assumptions that poverty drives support for militant groups, a new study shows poor Pakistanis often dislike extremists more than the middle class. Using data from a 6,000-person national survey measuring affect toward four major militant organizations, researchers mitigate social desirability biases by capturing respondents' emotions rather than direct stances.

🔍 Research Design

A nationally representative survey of 6,000 Pakistanis measured participants’ emotional responses (like or dislike) toward key militant groups

Key Measurement Advance

Capturing affect avoids social desirability bias and item nonresponse issues common in previous studies on militancy

📊 Urban Poor Contrast

Pakistan's urban poor were found to be less supportive of militants than middle-class citizens, challenging the poverty-as-root-cause narrative

💥 Exposure Effect

The effect was strongest among those living near areas with high exposure to violent incidents and terrorist attacks

🔄 Theory Revision

This finding suggests long-held arguments linking militant support directly to income levels may require substantial rethinking

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