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Gun Violence Shockwaves Fail To Sway Elections Despite Media Focus
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democratic accountability
regression discontinuity design
issue salience
American Politics
APSR
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Dataverse
Mobilize for Our Lives? School Shootings and Democratic Accountability in U.S. Elections was authored by Hans J. G. Hassell, John Holbein and Matthew Baldwin. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2020.

### Did School Shootings Change Election Outcomes?\nContrary to expectations, new research finds that these tragic events did not significantly influence voter turnout or election results in the United States. By analyzing validated voter registration and turnout data alongside electoral performance at local, state, and federal levels, this study employs regression discontinuity analysis and panel methods. The findings suggest that even highly salient issues with extensive media coverage may not be enough to drive democratic accountability.\n\nKey Findings: \n• School shootings had minimal impact on voter registration or turnout across affected areas • No statistically significant shifts in election outcomes were observed following incidents\n\nWhy It Matters?\nThe paper challenges the assumption that emotionally charged events automatically translate into political change, highlighting a gap between public attention and policy responsiveness.

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