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Insights from the Field

Income-Based Voting Tied to Race, Not Just Economy: New Data Reveals Surprising Regional Patterns


income partisanship
racial context
voting records
Old South regions
Voting and Elections
AJPS
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Dataverse
The Primacy of Race in the Geography of Income-Based Voting: New Evidence from Public Voting Records was authored by Eitan Hersh and Clayton Nall. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2016.

The relationship between income and political partisanship varies across U.S. regions—a phenomenon previously attributed mostly to economic factors or race-specific dynamics.

Existing Explanations:️ Previous theories have pointed to either economic salience in poorer areas or the influence of racialized issues elsewhere.

New Findings:️ Our analysis of 73 million geocoded voter records shows that racial context is primary, with economic factors playing only a minor role. In predominantly nonblack localities, income strongly predicts voting behavior; however, in heavily black areas across the Old South and other regions historically marked by racialized poverty, income-based voting patterns align more closely with partisan alignment.

Why It Matters:️ This underscores that regional disparities in how income shapes politics are rooted in historical inequalities. Redistricting efforts must consider these deep-seated connections to ensure fair geographic representation.

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