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Quantitative Evidence Reveals Not All Wars Boost Presidential Power Over Congress
Insights from the Field
wartime presidency
presidential influence
congressional voting behavior
US House
American Politics
AJPS
5 text files
6 datasets
1 PDF files
Dataverse
War, the Presidency, and Legislative Voting Behavior was authored by William G. Howell and Jon Rogowski. It was published by Wiley in AJPS in 2013.

New research quantifies how presidential influence shifts during wartime. Using ideal point estimation, we analyze voting behavior in the US House for major conflicts including WWII and 9/11-era wars versus earlier ones like Korea and Vietnam.

* 🔍 Data & Methods: Our analysis tracks ideological alignment between presidents (e.g., FDR, Truman, Kennedy) and their congressional counterparts before, during, and after significant wars.

* •• 📊 Key Findings: Wartime voting patterns align more closely with the president's ideology than peacetime behavior. This effect is pronounced in major conflicts like WWII but absent or reversed in Korea and Vietnam.

* •• 📚 Why It Matters: Contrary to existing literature, our findings show that the wartime alignment isn't universal across all wars and may reflect specific historical circumstances rather than a general phenomenon.

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American Journal of Political Science
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