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US-backed Regime Changes in Latin America Crashed Trade, New Research Finds
Insights from the Field
Foreign Imposed Regime Change
US Intervention Effects
Latin America Trade Impact
Gravity Model Analysis
International Relations
BJPS
2 datasets
Dataverse
No Business Like FIRC Business: Foreign-Imposed Regime Change and Bilateral Trade was authored by Paul Zachary, Kathleen Deloughery and Alexander B. Downes. It was published by Cambridge in BJPS in 2017.

FIRCs by the US in Latin America had a major negative impact on trade 💰. This study analyzes decades of economic data 📊 and finds FIRC caused average bilateral trade drops of 45%. The intervention's effects were far stronger than expected ⚠️. Three theories competed to explain this result: strengthening trade relationships, disrupting markets, or harming investment climates 🏦. Using gravity models 🔢 and synthetic controls for robustness testing 💪, the analysis concludes that FIRC consistently reduced trade flows regardless of context. Further evidence from sector-level archives and targeted case studies confirms these findings.

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British Journal of Political Science
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