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White Voters vs. Black Votes: How Job Losses Drive Political Divisions
Insights from the Field
Deindustrialization
Automation
Globalization
White Backlash
Economic Voting
Social Identity Theory
US Politics
American Politics
APSR
1 other files
Dataverse
Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting was authored by Leonardo Baccini. It was published by Cambridge in APSR in 2021.

Deindustrialization fueled by globalization and automation sparks contrasting voter responses in US presidential elections.

📍 Core Argument

The study argues job losses differently affect white voters, who often see deindustrialization as threatening racial hierarchy, versus Black voters.

🔍 Research Design & Findings

• Examined three US presidential elections (shortened to 'elections' for clarity)

• Found white voters more likely to support Republican challengers in areas with high layoffs

• Observed Democrats gaining votes from Black residents in heavily impacted regions

• Survey data revealed differing perceptions of job losses between racial groups

📊 Real-World Relevance

This research demonstrates how shared economic shocks can divide populations along identity lines, offering insights into persistent political polarization.

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