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Why Autocrats Choose Elections: A Strategic Calculation Revealed


electoral authoritarianism
multiparty elections
international leverage
trade ties
military alliances
regime weakness
Comparative Politics
BJPS
2 Stata files
1 datasets
1 PDF files
Dataverse
The Strategic Origins of Electoral Authoritarianism was authored by Michael K. Miller. It was published by Cambridge in BJPS in 2020.

This article explores the strategic logic behind autocratic adoption of multiparty elections.

Context: Following periods of non-electoral autocracy between 1946 and 2010.

International Incentives:

* Pro-democratic leverage (dependence on democracies via trade, military alliances, aid, and international governmental organizations)

* Quantified through statistical analysis in a multinomial logit model

Domestic Control Factors:

* Low average income and high inequality making voters easier to manage

Regime Dynamics:

* Democratization is primarily driven by regime weakness rather than external pressures or socioeconomic conditions.

The findings suggest that different forms of political liberalization (Electoral Authoritarianism vs. Democracy) are influenced by distinct factors, offering insights into autocratic decision-making and potential unintended consequences for democracy promotion efforts.

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